Covid-19 Talk: 'COVID 2019 - Public Health Perspective and Disaster Response in India' by Sunita Reddy - 30/07/2020

Covid-19 Talk: 'COVID 2019 - Public Health Perspective and Disaster Response in India' by Sunita Reddy - 30/07/2020
Lecture on 30/07/2020, Thursday 18:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome) - 5:00 p.m. GMT (London) A first discussion of Covid-19 in India, currently unfortunately a hot spot of the pandemic. Title: COVID 2019 - Public Health Perspective and Disaster Response in India Speaker: Sunita Reddy Abstract: India is a second populous country with limite...
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Covid-19 Talk: 'The Coronavirus Stimulus Package: How large is the transfer multiplier?' by Christian Bayer - 23/07/2020

Covid-19 Talk: 'The Coronavirus Stimulus Package: How large is the transfer multiplier?' by Christian Bayer - 23/07/2020
Lecture on 23/07/2020, Thursday 18:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome) - 5:00 p.m. GMT (London) Title: The Coronavirus Stimulus Package: How large is the transfer multiplier? Speaker: Christian Bayer Abstract: In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, large parts of the economy have been locked down and, as a result, households' income risk has risen sharp...
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Covid-19 Talk: ' I know I don't know: Tests, and Covid-19 patients' journeys through hospital' by Jane Hutton - 16/07/2020

Covid-19 Talk: ' I know I don't know: Tests, and Covid-19 patients' journeys through hospital' by Jane Hutton - 16/07/2020
Lecture on 16/07/2020, Thursday 18:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome) - 5:00 p.m. GMT (London) Title: I know I don't know: Tests, and Covid-19 Patients' Journeys through Hospital Speaker: Jane Hutton Abstract: How do we know it's covid-19? I was asked to consider the available data on Covid-19 patients' path into hospital, and then to intensive care, or de...
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General Assembly Covid-19 Project 09/07/2020

General Assembly Covid-19 Project 09/07/2020
The following event is a good opportunity to get information on our Covid-19 Project interdisciplinary initiative. You are free to join. Note that at a different Zoom URL, see below, there will be a Covid-19 Project talk by Andy Dobson. We have a general assembly video meeting Thursday 09/07/2020, 17:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome), 4:00 p.m. GMT (Londo...
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Covid-19 Talk: 'Models to understand Emerging Pathogens at the Dawn of the Covidocene' by Andy Dobson - 09/07/2020

Covid-19 Talk: 'Models to understand Emerging Pathogens at the Dawn of the Covidocene' by Andy Dobson - 09/07/2020
Lecture on 09/07/2020, Thursday 18:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome) - 5:00 p.m. GMT (London) Title: Models to understand Emerging Pathogens at the Dawn of the Covidocene Speaker: Andy Dobson Abstract: The arrival and emergence of Covid-19 has had a major impact on human health and the global economy. The emergence of Covid-19 and other emergent pathogens...
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Programming & Simulation Meeting of the Covid-19 Project - 07/07/2020 17:00 CET

Programming & Simulation Meeting of the Covid-19 Project - 07/07/2020 17:00 CET
Background: This is a programming & simulation meeting of the Covid-19 project. Current activities: We implement and improve a world-wide R-number visualisation application.We write a joint publication on basic mechanisms that can be incorporated into epidemiological models based on rule-based systems (reaction kinetics)We implement a...
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General Assembly Covid-19 Project 02/07/2020

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We have a general assembly video meeting Thursday 02/07/2020, 17:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome), 4:00 p.m. GMT (London). The meeting will last only 20min to allow for the preparation of our series of talks on Covid-19. Zoom URL: https://us02web.zoom.us/j/95476081270 Meeting-ID: 954 7608 1270 Agenda: WelcomeLink to interdisciplinary researchLink to...
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Covid-19 Talk: 'Basic Reproduction Numbers, Effective Reproduction Numbers and Herd Immunity' by Tom Britton

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Basic Reproduction Numbers, Effective Reproduction Numbers and Herd Immunity Lecture on 02/07/2020, Thursday 18:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome) - 5:00 p.m. GMT (London) Title: Basic Reproduction Numbers, Effective Reproduction Numbers and Herd Immunity Speaker: Tom Britton Abstract: We start by defining some basic concepts for the simplest epidemic mode...
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Programming & Simulation Meeting of the Covid-19 Project - 30/06/2020 17:00 CET

virus
Background: This is a programming & simulation meeting of the Covid-19 project. Current activities: We implement and improve a world-wide R-number visualisation application.We write a joint publication on basic mechanisms that can be incorporated into epidemiological models based on rule-based systems (reaction kinetics)We implement a...
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General Assembly (Zoom Meeting) 25/06/2020 17:00 CET

 Dear All, just a reminder about the general meeting later today. The meeting is later today: 25/06/2020 - 17:00 CET (Central European Time - Paris, Berlin,Rome) - 4:00 p.m. GMT (London) The Zoom URL stays always the same: https://us02web.zoom.us/j/95476081270 Meeting-ID: 954 7608 1270 Here is today's agenda: WelcomeWhere are we?General Discus...
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Ronald Poon-Affat - Brazil in the Time of Covid-19

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Warning: The previous date was a typo! Lecture on 25/06/2020, Thursday 18:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome) - 5:00 p.m. GMT (London) Title: Brazil in the Time of Covid-19 Speaker: Ronald Poon-Affat Abstract: Presentation will include brazilian point of view on 1) most credible data sources/projection models both from international...
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Jupyter notebook

I have uploaded a Jupyter simulation GillespieModelxSIRwr_ifb.ipynb for a reaction system included in Lisa document including information feedbacks SIRwr_info_feedback.model 
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Modelling.tex

I made a couple of corrections in the information feedback reactions in the model. 
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Statistics, Modelling and Simulation Meeting 23/06/2020

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Background: This is a programming & simulation meeting of the Covid-19 project. Currently we implement a world-wide R-number application, and implement a stochastic simulation algorithm (SSA) for simulation of pandemic spread within different modelling frameworks. ZOOM Meeting: The meeting is also interesting for existing implemented models bot...
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New Python and R scripts

Thanks to Lisa recap (modelling.tex) and after the discussion (some interesting Heike's comments) I  wrote a new toy model with our "Wises" and "Riskies" guys: giellespie4.py and Giellespie_epidem2.R (different names but same system and simulations). The new model is explicitly including social behaviour and the effects on risky and ...
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Seminar Live Streaming

Seminar Live Streaming
Our Covid-19 Project seminar series on Thursdays 18:00 CET will also be streaming live on the YouTube channel  SARA Systems Streaming Event List: 18/06/2020, 18:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome) - 5:00 p.m. GMT (London) Title: Evolution of the COVID-19 Epidemic in México Speaker: Moises Santillan
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Python and R codes

I uploaded to the repository (simulations) two scripts one in Python and one in R which implement Gillespie algorithm on a simple toy model (SIR - like) that we discussed in the meeting on the 16 of May. 
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Evolution of the COVID-19 Epidemic in México - Speaker: Moises Santillan

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Lecture on 18/06/2020, 18:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome) - 5:00 p.m. GMT (London) Title:  Evolution of the COVID-19 Epidemic in México Speaker: Moises Santillan Zoom URL: https://us02web.zoom.us/j/84316972876 Meeting-ID: 843 1697 2876 The seminar will also be streamed live on a YouTube channel.
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Gillespie's algorithms

I uploaded Gillespie's papers in which his algorithm is fully described. I also upload the pdf file of my presentation that now contains also an appendix in which explained the probability of each reaction in either the Gillespie setting and the "generalised case". Gillespie setting assumes reactions with exponentially distributed waiting time...
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General Assembly Covid-19 Project 18/06/2020 - Public

General Assembly Covid-19 Project 18/06/2020 - Public
 We have a general assembly video meeting Thursday 18/06/2020, 17:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome), 4:00 p.m. GMT (London). The meeting will last 30min. Zoom URL: https://us02web.zoom.us/j/95476081270 Meeting-ID: 954 7608 1270 Agenda: WelcomeNew developments (computing, seminar)project input Later we will have our first project seminar: Thursda...
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