Mathematical Epidemiology 
Spread of Covid-19 

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COVID-19 Epidemiological Modelling Project Talks

The COVID-19 Epidemiological Modelling Project has started a series of talks on the pandemic. Previous talks can be viewed again on YouTube:

SARA Systems Streaming

This channel is also used for live streaming of the talks. For participants who like to take part in the discussion, use the Zoom URL

https://us02web.zoom.us/j/84316972876

Meeting-ID: 843 1697 2876

Talks are given on Thursdays  18:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome) - 5:00 p.m. GMT (London)




Basic Reproduction Numbers, Effective Reproduction Numbers and Herd Immunity

Lecture on 02/07/2020, Thursday 18:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome) - 5:00 p.m. GMT (London)

Title: Basic Reproduction Numbers, Effective Reproduction Numbers and Herd Immunity

Speaker: Tom Britton

Abstract: We start by defining some basic concepts for the simplest epidemic model and then extend the results to a wider class of epidemic models allowing for some population heterogeneities. We end by showing an important new result: the disease-induced herd immunity level $h_D$ is smaller than the classical herd immunity level $h_C=1-1/R_0$. 

 

Link to this talk's announcement.

Download the presentation.

Some of Tom's simulations can be viewed here.

 

Brazil in the Time of Covid-19

Lecture on 25/06/2020, Thursday 18:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome) - 5:00 p.m. GMT (London)

Title: Brazil in the Time of Covid-19

Speaker: Ronald Poon-Affat

Abstract: Presentation will include brazilian point of view on 1) most credible data sources/projection models both from international and brazilian sites 2) why is modelling Brazilian covid-19 so challenging 3) is there any good news to share 4) government's plan/expectation in reopening

 

Download the presentation.

 

Evolution of the COVID-19 Epidemic in México

Lecture on 18/06/2020, 18:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome) - 5:00 p.m. GMT (London)

Title:  Evolution of the COVID-19 Epidemic in México

Speaker: Moises Santillan

 

Blog entry at:

https://www.mathematical-modelling.science/index.php/blog/evolution-of-the-covid-19-epidemic-in-mexicospeaker-moises-santillan