Background: This is a programming & simulation meeting of the Covid-19 project. Current activities:We implement and improve a world-wide R-number visualisation application.We write a joint publication on basic mechanisms that can be incorporated into epidemiological models based on rule-based systems (reaction kinetics)We implement a ...

We have a general assembly video meeting Thursday 02/07/2020, 17:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome), 4:00 p.m. GMT (London).The meeting will last only 20min to allow for the preparation of our series of talks on Covid-19.Zoom URL:https://us02web.zoom.us/j/95476081270Meeting-ID: 954 7608 1270Agenda:WelcomeLink to interdisciplinary researchLink to inter...

Basic Reproduction Numbers, Effective Reproduction Numbers and Herd ImmunityLecture on 02/07/2020, Thursday 18:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome) - 5:00 p.m. GMT (London)Title: Basic Reproduction Numbers, Effective Reproduction Numbers and Herd ImmunitySpeaker: Tom BrittonAbstract: We start by defining some basic concepts for the simplest epidemic model an...

Background: This is a programming & simulation meeting of the Covid-19 project. Current activities:We implement and improve a world-wide R-number visualisation application.We write a joint publication on basic mechanisms that can be incorporated into epidemiological models based on rule-based systems (reaction kinetics)We implement a ...

 Dear All,just a reminder about the general meeting later today. The meeting is later today:25/06/2020 - 17:00 CET (Central European Time - Paris, Berlin,Rome) - 4:00 p.m. GMT (London)The Zoom URL stays always the same:https://us02web.zoom.us/j/95476081270Meeting-ID: 954 7608 1270 Here is today's agenda:WelcomeWhere are we?General Discussion, ...

Warning: The previous date was a typo!Lecture on 25/06/2020, Thursday 18:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome) - 5:00 p.m. GMT (London)Title: Brazil in the Time of Covid-19Speaker: Ronald Poon-AffatAbstract: Presentation will include brazilian point of view on 1) most credible data sources/projection models both from international and...

I have uploaded a Jupyter simulation GillespieModelxSIRwr_ifb.ipynb for a reaction system included in Lisa document including information feedbacks SIRwr_info_feedback.model 

I made a couple of corrections in the information feedback reactions in the model. 

Background: This is a programming & simulation meeting of the Covid-19 project. Currently we implement a world-wide R-number application, and implement a stochastic simulation algorithm (SSA) for simulation of pandemic spread within different modelling frameworks.ZOOM Meeting: The meeting is also interesting for existing implemented models both...

Thanks to Lisa recap (modelling.tex) and after the discussion (some interesting Heike's comments) I  wrote a new toy model with our "Wises" and "Riskies" guys: giellespie4.py and Giellespie_epidem2.R (different names but same system and simulations). The new model is explicitly including social behaviour and the effects on risky and ...

Our Covid-19 Project seminar series on Thursdays 18:00 CET will also be streaming live on the YouTube channel SARA Systems StreamingEvent List:18/06/2020, 18:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome) - 5:00 p.m. GMT (London)Title: Evolution of the COVID-19 Epidemic in MéxicoSpeaker: Moises Santillan

I uploaded to the repository (simulations) two scripts one in Python and one in R which implement Gillespie algorithm on a simple toy model (SIR - like) that we discussed in the meeting on the 16 of May. 

Lecture on 18/06/2020, 18:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome) - 5:00 p.m. GMT (London)Title:  Evolution of the COVID-19 Epidemic in MéxicoSpeaker: Moises SantillanZoom URL:https://us02web.zoom.us/j/84316972876Meeting-ID: 843 1697 2876The seminar will also be streamed live on a YouTube channel.

I uploaded Gillespie's papers in which his algorithm is fully described. I also upload the pdf file of my presentation that now contains also an appendix in which explained the probability of each reaction in either the Gillespie setting and the "generalised case". Gillespie setting assumes reactions with exponentially distributed waiting time...

 We have a general assembly video meeting Thursday 18/06/2020, 17:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome), 4:00 p.m. GMT (London).The meeting will last 30min.Zoom URL:https://us02web.zoom.us/j/95476081270Meeting-ID: 954 7608 1270Agenda:WelcomeNew developments (computing, seminar)project inputLater we will have our first project seminar: Thursday 18/06...

We have a new Zoom URL for our online seminar.Event: Thursdays, 18:00 - 18:30 (+ Discussion) CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome)Zoom-Meetinghttps://us02web.zoom.us/j/84316972876Meeting-ID: 843 1697 2876Typically the plan is to stop the general group meeting at 17:30 CET, and then come back for the seminar after a 30min break.

Background: This is a programming & simulation meeting of the Covid-19 project. Currently we implement a world-wide R-number application, and implement a stochastic simulation algorithm (SSA) for simulation of pandemic spread within different modelling frameworks.ZOOM Meeting: The meeting is also interesting for existing implemented m...

Covid-19 ProjectWe have a video meeting today, 11/06/2020 17:00 CET (Paris, Berlin, Rome) - 4pm UK TimeZoom URL:https://us02web.zoom.us/j/95476081270Meeting-ID: 954 7608 1270Important: If you like to get updates from our blog, go tohttps://www.mathematical-modelling.science/index.php/blogThen go to <Categories> in the black stripe menu of the...

We have a technical video meeting today, discussing mainly collaborative programming in both statistics and mathematical modelling, all related to the Covid-19 pandemic.This is currently an open collaborative project, everybody welcome, computer scientists, physicists, mathematicians, life scientists.Tuesday 09/06/2020 17:00 CET...

Covid-19 Epidemiology ProjectThis is an interdisciplinary project, but starting from a mathematical modelling point-of-view.We have a video meeting later today, 17:00 CET (Paris-Berlin-Rome), 4:00pm GMT (London).We use a Zoom URL:https://us02web.zoom.us/j/95476081270Meeting-ID: 954 7608 1270This is the general assembly, where we discuss g...